Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc04b681a50c0fbb3a78c3a9872497924abf4fe947442ef365040dac79564bbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 59c | 5,980$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.83 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 54c | 3,176$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.39 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 45c | 1,122$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.21 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…63cdbacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 54c | 999.99$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 62c | 931.75$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.87 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 52c | 820.19$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.83 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 59c | 781.25$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 44c | 750$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 46c | 626.09$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.09 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 53c | 599.97$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.98 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 545.84$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.95 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 45c | 441.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.59 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 36c | 375.83$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.53 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 46c | 326.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2979…59e5backed Yes | 47c | 322.51$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 43c | 322$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…03cdbacked Yes | 46c | 317.09$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 59c | 262.2$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 55c | 231.09$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…6ff8backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 45c | 211.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 54c | 159.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 54c | 131.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…14babacked Yes | 46c | 129.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…1624backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 23c | 103.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…4c42backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…1bd1backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa91…ebcbbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e73…9d10backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6e…db9bbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…1cfabacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4749…d5f2backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…93b4backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…f1fbbacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3122…e4d3backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558b…8f6cbacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 57c | 58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…863dbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…dfb0backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 80c | 40.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 49c | 30.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…1e5abacked Yes | 48c | 21.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. Bologna end in a draw?No won
- Will Bologna win on 2025-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.