Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bf7b06edf1a749001f1920ce2cb61e84cae757b932126198a0a7845e9053eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 25c | 3,308$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.86 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 42c | 1,446$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 1,373$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.82 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,300$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 43c | 1,176$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 58c | 1,154$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.84 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 48c | 1,058$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.91 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 24c | 1,039$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.05 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 42c | 924$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.08 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 758.86$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.47 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0281…34e7backed Yes | 58c | 753.85$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 43c | 572.34$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.11 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 58c | 550$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 44c | 439.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 56c | 389.54$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.59 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 56c | 362.45$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 57c | 321.05$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 42c | 299.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 44c | 296.73$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 69c | 290.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes | 57c | 277.89$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 43c | 268.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 58c | 138.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…7355backed Yes | 56c | 106.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…0155backed Yes | 56c | 101.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…b219backed Yes | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 57c | 88.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 51c | 87.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 52c | 86.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 53c | 77.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 49c | 63.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 42c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 46c | 40.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…f8b9backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f28…e466backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 57c | 25.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 57c | 25.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 60c | 20.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…7c77backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Pisa SC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.