Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisville Cardinals vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x691be5b1ee0196dbe66fe79ba9bbd79787d571be42edd3a2ebc450707a3151d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Razorbacksof Louisville Cardinals, Arkansas Razorbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 22,935$13,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,164.58 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 18,944$10,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,869.04 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 10,300$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,820 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 7,474$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 6,930$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.1 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 42c | 6,244$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.75 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 5,500$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.01 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Louisville Cardinals | 55c | 5,000$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.99 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 4,413$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.87 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 4,346$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.85 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 4,174$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.1 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 42c | 3,687$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 3,460$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.51 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 2,710$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 1,677$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 1,532$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.89 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 54c | 1,293$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.36 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 63c | 1,233$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.87 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 1,187$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.28 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 1,161$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.84 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 1,032$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.29 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Louisville Cardinals | 17c | 1,019$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.7 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisville Cardinals | 30c | 995.18$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.1 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 890$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 21c | 862.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.45 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 859$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.04 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisville Cardinals | 32c | 808$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 800.65$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.45 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Louisville Cardinals | 21c | 716.67$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 74c | 658.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Louisville Cardinals | 13c | 652.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 579.32$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 57c | 577.76$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Louisville Cardinals | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Louisville Cardinals | 61c | 493.08$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 460$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 45c | 450$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 436.23$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 41c | 373.4$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 41c | 319.88$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 69c | 288.41$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 41c | 258.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd9…9ef5backed Louisville Cardinals | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 41c | 231.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…b96fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 230.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…ed91backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 220.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 41c | 200.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Louisville Cardinals | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 73c | 147.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 122.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Louisville Cardinals | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Louisville Cardinals | 59c | 95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…5f8bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…1505backed Louisville Cardinals | 60c | 87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 70.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 69.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 42c | 68.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…10f7backed Louisville Cardinals | 45c | 60.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 64c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d4…03dcbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 68c | 52.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 52.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Louisville Cardinals | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…0074backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9df…645ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 39c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…94f5backed Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 38.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 41c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Louisville Cardinals | 43c | 30.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…2972backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b0…4e10backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 28.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816c…02c5backed Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 28.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 23.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.