Cricket · resolved market
Asia Cup: Bangladesh vs Pakistan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x933f7337958d245c285689563c6dd4bb0f481ca51d7352443da144f582a0d8f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pakistanof Bangladesh, Pakistan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pakistan | 69c | 3,465$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.06 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc80…7566backed Pakistan | 67c | 2,608$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…a528backed Pakistan | 71c | 2,261$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Bangladesh | 34c | 1,063$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.53 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffa…8c62backed Bangladesh | 1c | 1,040$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Bangladesh | 68c | 1,024$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.98 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Bangladesh | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…c26dbacked Bangladesh | 70c | 674.18$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pakistan | 40c | 609.79$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…c343backed Bangladesh | 62c | 280$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…8dc9backed Bangladesh | 67c | 272.34$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…0ed0backed Bangladesh | 67c | 271.64$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Bangladesh | 34c | 207.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Bangladesh | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…450ebacked Pakistan | 77c | 195$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bangladesh | 66c | 151.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Pakistan | 79c | 149.82$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Pakistan | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…4f4cbacked Pakistan | 40c | 126.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…490fbacked Bangladesh | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Bangladesh | 40c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Pakistan | 67c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Pakistan | 39c | 49.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Bangladesh | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…532abacked Bangladesh | 57c | 34.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59e…082dbacked Pakistan | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5750…bb8dbacked Pakistan | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Pakistan | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe0…0a77backed Pakistan | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…2021backed Pakistan | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f6…18bcbacked Pakistan | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…c6bfbacked Bangladesh | 63c | 23.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8459…8bd2backed Pakistan | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.