Cricket · resolved market
Will Oval Invincibles win The Hundred Men's Competition 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c180a627c57183c8ca30a9773985ffdb38f57f962e5f60d84ebcc2a4d0515b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 52c | 1,963$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.32 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 67c | 1,375$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.39 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.32 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 28c | 612.25$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.57 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…c26dbacked Yes | 36c | 301.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b2…a3afbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 58c | 208.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 58c | 136$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 56c | 129.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…168abacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 32c | 77.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…1209backed Yes | 74c | 74.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…c944backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 64c | 22.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oval Invincibles win The Hundred Men's Competition 2025?this page
- Will Birmingham Phoenix win The Hundred Men's Competition 2025?No won
- Will London Spirit win The Hundred Men's Competition 2025?No won
- Will Manchester Originals win The Hundred Men's Competition 2025?No won
- Will Trent Rockets win The Hundred Men's Competition 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.