Tennis · resolved market
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Taylor Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9910faa6a53f44832fc4111b27e506ac79996b983dbdf3caa2be239e8b7f1e4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Brooksby, Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Fritz | 76c | 5,238$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.06 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brooksby | 23c | 2,994$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.32 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Fritz | 77c | 2,488$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.02 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brooksby | 24c | 1,537$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.88 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Brooksby | 22c | 1,393$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.38 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Fritz | 79c | 1,101$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.27 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Brooksby | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Brooksby | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Brooksby | 25c | 726.04$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.95 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Brooksby | 17c | 699.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Fritz | 75c | 679.05$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.76 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Brooksby | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Brooksby | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Brooksby | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Brooksby | 24c | 420$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Fritz | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Brooksby | 25c | 399.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Brooksby | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Fritz | 70c | 383.4$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Brooksby | 30c | 383.4$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Brooksby | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Fritz | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Brooksby | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Brooksby | 25c | 215.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fritz | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Fritz | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Brooksby | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…a7babacked Brooksby | 11c | 187.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…bacfbacked Fritz | 79c | 160.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brooksby | 27c | 149.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Fritz | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Fritz | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Brooksby | 21c | 135.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…a916backed Fritz | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fritz | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Fritz | 77c | 130.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Brooksby | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Fritz | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Brooksby | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fritz | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Brooksby | 25c | 63.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Brooksby | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…c26dbacked Fritz | 75c | 42.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Fritz | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.