La Liga · resolved market
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb2d5d1fba8b041e5e9df5daef63b31752381bcb82d654e18d14daca85bc3a10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 17c | 4,406$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,656.88 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 57c | 3,634$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.08 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 44c | 2,876$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.4 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 43c | 1,770$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.1 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 664.18$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.04 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 70c | 538.79$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.02 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee94…2ad7backed Yes | 79c | 504.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 36c | 501.23$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.23 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 22c | 448.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.58 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Yes | 29c | 131.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…739bbacked Yes | 17c | 100.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 22c | 100.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 79c | 69.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…c26dbacked Yes | 60c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…78febacked Yes | 75c | 61.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…529fbacked Yes | 40c | 61.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…dfb0backed Yes | 67c | 54.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…3906backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed Yes | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…23c9backed Yes | 61c | 27.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…0526backed Yes | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…7fe8backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 72c | 24.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea6…2edabacked Yes | 75c | 23.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atletico Madrid vs. Elche CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-23?No won
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.