NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c5d99d084d95d4fcc191dd819e390772cc096f51a62493b8bf06ef4a672e6af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Rockets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Mavericks | 49c | 56,590$27,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,860.89 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.84 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Rockets | 51c | 28,336$14,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,451.53 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Rockets | 52c | 23,415$12,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,193.84 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Rockets | 53c | 14,285$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks | 47c | 12,846$5,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,858.88 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…d53cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 9,184$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,683.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 47c | 9,012$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 51c | 8,987$4,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583.12 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Rockets | 32c | 8,846$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.33 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets | 52c | 7,893$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.43 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 68c | 7,157$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Rockets | 52c | 6,897$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.57 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Rockets | 53c | 6,729$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.28 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks | 49c | 6,510$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Rockets | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Rockets | 51c | 4,700$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Rockets | 51c | 4,586$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.09 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Mavericks | 49c | 4,545$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.9 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Mavericks | 50c | 4,538$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 3,810$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rockets | 52c | 3,100$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Mavericks | 79c | 2,812$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.87 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Rockets | 52c | 2,611$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.88 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Rockets | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockets | 25c | 1,544$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.26 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Rockets | 52c | 1,350$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Mavericks | 61c | 1,328$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.83 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Rockets | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Rockets | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,189$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Rockets | 51c | 1,157$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,133$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.07 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Rockets | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,025$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.97 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rockets | 51c | 1,001$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.51 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Rockets | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 54c | 925.38$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.92 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Rockets | 55c | 889$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.95 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rockets | 20c | 881.29$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.57 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 51c | 813.87$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.77 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Rockets | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Rockets | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Mavericks | 47c | 639$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Mavericks | 48c | 600$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Rockets | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Mavericks | 49c | 549$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.33 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rockets | 21c | 539$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rockets | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rockets | 26c | 396$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Rockets | 52c | 384.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Rockets | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Rockets | 51c | 321.58$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Rockets | 51c | 320$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Rockets | 52c | 299.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Rockets | 52c | 287.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Rockets | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Rockets | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Rockets | 21c | 211.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…a127backed Mavericks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Rockets | 23c | 195.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Rockets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Rockets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Rockets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mavericks | 48c | 166$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Rockets | 23c | 162.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 58c | 156.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mavericks | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Rockets | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Rockets | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Rockets | 55c | 114$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Mavericks | 73c | 110.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Mavericks | 52c | 107.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Rockets | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…0fa3backed Rockets | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Rockets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ba…d1c2backed Rockets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Rockets | 53c | 96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Rockets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed Rockets | 54c | 93.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Rockets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…1a0dbacked Rockets | 54c | 82.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets | 50c | 80.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rockets | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mavericks | 47c | 77.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Rockets | 52c | 72.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Mavericks | 75c | 65.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed Mavericks | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 169 | 68.6%116 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Rockets | 52c | 60.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…4085backed Rockets | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…7066backed Mavericks | 48c | 56.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Mavericks | 49c | 56.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Rockets | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Rockets | 53c | 56.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Rockets vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.