NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea20d7b4e5444b6b813ebcbdb2431749602f08d97dafed1dabefa5d686d29b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Rockets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Rockets | 50c | 126,992$63,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,698.37 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 49c | 31,378$15,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,010.36 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 49c | 10,020$4,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,110.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 52c | 8,745$4,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,181.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 54c | 8,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.11 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Mavericks | 53c | 5,150$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 46c | 4,449$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Rockets | 52c | 3,750$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.85 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 48c | 3,511$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 53c | 3,319$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.87 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Rockets | 47c | 3,134$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Mavericks | 53c | 2,454$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.38 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Mavericks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Mavericks | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 46c | 1,445$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,440$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.25 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 53c | 1,324$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.39 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 46c | 1,205$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Mavericks | 54c | 971.35$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.35 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Mavericks | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 49c | 777$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.59 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mavericks | 53c | 613$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.11 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Rockets | 47c | 576.03$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.74 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mavericks | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Rockets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Rockets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Mavericks | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mavericks | 53c | 321$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Mavericks | 49c | 305.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.97 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Mavericks | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Rockets | 47c | 285.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mavericks | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Mavericks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Mavericks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…3b75backed Rockets | 47c | 131.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Mavericks | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Rockets | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 48c | 115.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…093cbacked Mavericks | 51c | 115.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Mavericks | 53c | 112.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Mavericks | 50c | 105$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Rockets | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mavericks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Rockets | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Rockets | 48c | 86.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Rockets | 54c | 82.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Rockets | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 51c | 66.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 48c | 62.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…536ebacked Rockets | 48c | 60.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Mavericks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Mavericks | 50c | 56.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Mavericks | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rockets | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Mavericks | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Mavericks | 53c | 48.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Mavericks | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Mavericks | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2992…366dbacked Rockets | 47c | 46.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Mavericks | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Mavericks | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Rockets | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Mavericks | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf443…1ea1backed Mavericks | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…17f1backed Mavericks | 54c | 36.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Mavericks | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Rockets | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 32.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Mavericks | 52c | 31.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Mavericks | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Rockets | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Mavericks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Rockets | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Rockets | 46c | 26.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Mavericks | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…abe9backed Rockets | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Mavericks | 49c | 24.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Mavericks | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Mavericks | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Mavericks | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Mavericks | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…5103backed Rockets | 55c | 23.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Mavericks | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Mavericks | 52c | 22.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Mavericks | 47c | 22.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Rockets | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Rockets | 51c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Rockets vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.