NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeed9cdf28bfaa1fa2728d0f9d0f98bdfd886500aec98c86da42fcb128967b2dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 48c | 85,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,199.99 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 52c | 74,046$38,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,503.88 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 49c | 25,000$12,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,784.95 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 51c | 7,365$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 5,995$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.6 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…850bbacked Over | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 5,600$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Over | 52c | 5,007$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.57 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 3,992$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.49 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 3,694$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.35 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 49c | 3,110$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.2 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 2,747$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 53c | 2,491$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Under | 79c | 1,813$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.4 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 1,625$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 50c | 1,591$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.5 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 1,531$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.06 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Over | 54c | 1,473$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.2 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 1,400$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed Over | 53c | 1,223$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.19 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,020$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.62 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 998$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 23c | 921.47$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.78 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 28c | 886.44$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.14 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 54c | 762.63$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.46 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 8c | 749.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Under | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683d…6198backed Over | 25c | 581.09$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Over | 52c | 576.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.68 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 305$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 305$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.65 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 302.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…eca5backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…c62bbacked Over | 51c | 194.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 73c | 156.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 52c | 152.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 48c | 146.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 141.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 63c | 112.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 22c | 96.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Under | 60c | 96.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 50c | 94.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Over | 52c | 92.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 61c | 86.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 82.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 47c | 74.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130c…782cbacked Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 144 | 20.1%29 W · 115 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 47c | 68.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa7…2e1abacked Over | 50c | 57.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…930fbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -12.3wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7597…a162backed Over | 54c | 39.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 33.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 53c | 32.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 29.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…ec1fbacked Over | 52c | 26.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399e…27d2backed Under | 80c | 24.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Over | 52c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Rockets vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.