NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ccc8bea16280585beb3c619345d768f10d18ca1b0e6b87aab3d906c1d6c9316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 51c | 13,529$6,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,694.08 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 51c | 5,922$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 4,609$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.31 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 4,246$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 50c | 3,474$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 2,700$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Over | 51c | 2,102$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 50c | 1,916$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 1,573$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 1,463$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.63 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 905.69$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.86 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 787$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 747.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 53c | 744.46$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.76 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 562.2$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 52c | 483.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.82 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 45c | 391.9$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 50c | 312$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 50c | 252$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Over | 51c | 230.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 51c | 96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Over | 57c | 78.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 49c | 63.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 51c | 63.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 49c | 61.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…3b5fbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 49c | 23.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 49c | 23.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebf…dc08backed Over | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 48c | 22.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Rockets vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.