Fifa International · resolved market
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58495ed39c568addf7ead3164b7bd9f0d6e9946839e89c991c7bb55bab5a3b74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 15c | 53,590$7,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,834.93 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 15c | 23,317$3,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.19 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 12c | 16,269$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.33 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 77c | 2,611$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.68 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 14c | 1,607$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.24 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 13c | 1,400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 12c | 1,175$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed No | 11c | 1,169$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed No | 10c | 1,164$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 79c | 1,094$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.06 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 10c | 801.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 19c | 700$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 14c | 404.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…40d8backed Yes | 80c | 188.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 7c | 181.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 14c | 170$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…9c54backed No | 21c | 112.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…b762backed Yes | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed No | 24c | 84.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 79c | 79.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed No | 13c | 79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Yes | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Yes | 78c | 70.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 80c | 61.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 20c | 54.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…18ffbacked Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Yes | 78c | 13.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Morocco win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Comoros win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will Morocco vs. Comoros end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.