F1 · resolved market
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5cb0761f7f3ef3f103784e6cb2a6610162ad9e810aedc0645b0600eea49be07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 0c | 12,659$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…14f2backed No | 2c | 5,505$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +737.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed No | 6c | 5,073$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2130…b64dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,700$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.17 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 35c | 1,077$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 73c | 593.98$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 23c | 430.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…64d5backed Yes | 75c | 377$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 62c | 323.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd99…df91backed Yes | 76c | 263.75$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…f2d9backed Yes | 77c | 261.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c2…3a00backed Yes | 75c | 249.85$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 40c | 240.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 58c | 199.82$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 55c | 180.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 65c | 170$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…8f10backed Yes | 54c | 148.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked Yes | 75c | 147$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Yes | 77c | 130.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b66…2d68backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 59c | 112$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed No | 27c | 102.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…72b6backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 77c | 97.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed No | 28c | 86.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfe…b99fbacked Yes | 75c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed No | 31c | 73.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…ff01backed Yes | 71c | 63.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked No | 29c | 56.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 41c | 54.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 75c | 52.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…7937backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…5533backed Yes | 77c | 39.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 74c | 38.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…74efbacked Yes | 53c | 37.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 39c | 30.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d54…923cbacked Yes | 75c | 26.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…5871backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 68c | 23.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfe…9ee0backed Yes | 73c | 18.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?this page
- Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?No won
- Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?No won
- Will Red Bull have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?No won
- Will another team have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.