F1 · resolved market
Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85fcb9a0b99792b15cf2e345f3c52f9cb35109f0730cf62474709b176ec4eb49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 10c | 600$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…f10ebacked No | 72c | 596$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.04 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 6c | 489.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…64d5backed Yes | 9c | 377$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 12c | 352.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Yes | 15c | 329.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…7ce4backed Yes | 8c | 306.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 27c | 270$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2130…b64dbacked Yes | 14c | 209.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 9c | 180.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…72b6backed Yes | 17c | 174.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…74efbacked Yes | 15c | 129.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…7667backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…d16dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…5871backed Yes | 21c | 93.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfe…b99fbacked Yes | 14c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…c92dbacked Yes | 27c | 73.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ab…2f52backed Yes | 28c | 72.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 17c | 70.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferrari have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?this page
- Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?Yes won
- Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?No won
- Will Red Bull have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?No won
- Will another team have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.