NFL · resolved market
Titans vs. Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa683d3e9a19d4fafd3f7139d6a8dcef4ffc91a50b2d2e25df9b834978d983560
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Titans, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Titans | 15c | 12,121$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.51 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Titans | 12c | 6,012$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.78 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Titans | 9c | 5,939$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Titans | 15c | 5,769$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.41 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Titans | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Titans | 14c | 3,600$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.95 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Titans | 19c | 1,756$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Titans | 16c | 1,350$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.92 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Titans | 12c | 1,237$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8d67backed Titans | 17c | 1,032$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Titans | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Titans | 7c | 999$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Titans | 14c | 998.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.84 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Titans | 15c | 993.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Titans | 14c | 892$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…e88abacked Titans | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Titans | 16c | 499.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Titans | 13c | 490.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Titans | 8c | 490.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…e7a3backed Titans | 16c | 306.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfe…bc07backed Titans | 15c | 297.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…003abacked Titans | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…19b8backed Titans | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Titans | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Titans | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Titans | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Titans | 16c | 199.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47db…9b16backed Titans | 13c | 190$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…fe00backed Titans | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Titans | 15c | 179.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…a0c5backed Titans | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc0…b5a4backed Titans | 16c | 147.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ba…9beebacked Titans | 16c | 137.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…1748backed Titans | 15c | 134.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…8f6fbacked Titans | 15c | 131.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Titans | 15c | 110.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8573…801abacked Titans | 16c | 109.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…edfbbacked Titans | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…af9dbacked Titans | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2a…1158backed Titans | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Titans | 14c | 99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd343…aedfbacked Titans | 15c | 94.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2833…e1edbacked Titans | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…8ae3backed Titans | 18c | 67.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cc…0aa1backed Titans | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…749cbacked Titans | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.