MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6344d172fb779bc6c832429e5e68b6ee0c3d2c87f9ac66472d9ce21b5333aea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Nationals | 54c | 44,854$24,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,754.02 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b3…4297backed Nationals | 43c | 43,675$18,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,894.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…02cdbacked Orioles | 57c | 41,725$23,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,783.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 55c | 28,871$15,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,866.45 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Nationals | 43c | 20,661$8,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,804.81 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 6c | 16,451$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.88 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 57c | 11,688$6,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,662.44 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…7bc6backed Nationals | 41c | 9,993$4,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,895.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…ad12backed Orioles | 59c | 9,993$5,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,895.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Orioles | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.99 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Nationals | 44c | 6,892$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,892.17 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 57c | 5,286$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.46 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Orioles | 57c | 5,012$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.86 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf080…cc17backed Nationals | 41c | 4,378$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…4ef8backed Nationals | 41c | 4,266$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 8c | 4,082$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.28 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Orioles | 57c | 3,300$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.99 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 58c | 2,912$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.1 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Nationals | 43c | 2,658$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.05 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 57c | 2,100$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Orioles | 58c | 2,058$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.57 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Orioles | 4c | 2,026$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Orioles | 59c | 2,010$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 57c | 2,000$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.7 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Nationals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…9ad1backed Orioles | 57c | 1,950$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083a…c64dbacked Nationals | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67dc…75ffbacked Orioles | 59c | 1,770$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…d794backed Orioles | 59c | 1,762$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…23a6backed Orioles | 59c | 1,748$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…6b56backed Orioles | 59c | 1,696$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…996abacked Orioles | 59c | 1,668$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Orioles | 4c | 1,039$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Orioles | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Nationals | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Orioles | 57c | 927$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.39 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…ecd4backed Nationals | 44c | 892.39$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Orioles | 22c | 892.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.83 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Orioles | 60c | 675$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe858…6145backed Nationals | 44c | 653.3$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381e…16e2backed Orioles | 58c | 631.83$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Orioles | 58c | 623.23$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.24 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Orioles | 58c | 589.32$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.8 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 58c | 578.66$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Orioles | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Nationals | 42c | 515$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f4…fd6fbacked Nationals | 43c | 489.79$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Orioles | 4c | 488$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Nationals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 44c | 461.36$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.36 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…8ff2backed Nationals | 43c | 408.84$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nationals | 66c | 376.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Nationals | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 38c | 337.49$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…690ebacked Orioles | 58c | 320.31$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Nationals | 58c | 316.84$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.36 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c7…4dbebacked Orioles | 58c | 306.47$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…50cabacked Orioles | 58c | 294.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…8a6bbacked Orioles | 58c | 285.03$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Nationals | 43c | 280$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Orioles | 57c | 280$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 15c | 254.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Orioles | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Nationals | 42c | 226.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Nationals | 43c | 220.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…fa08backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Nationals | 41c | 196$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…8aefbacked Orioles | 59c | 196$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…1ea1backed Orioles | 58c | 187.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Nationals | 43c | 183.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Orioles | 33c | 177.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Orioles | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Orioles | 13c | 165.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Nationals | 44c | 160.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Nationals | 42c | 126.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Orioles | 57c | 125.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Nationals | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…bcd3backed Orioles | 59c | 114$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7910…0224backed Nationals | 41c | 114$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 52c | 109$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Nationals | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…4eb3backed Orioles | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Nationals | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Nationals | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nationals | 43c | 85.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Orioles | 61c | 82.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Nationals | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Orioles | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…825abacked Orioles | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Nationals | 66c | 66.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f8e7backed Nationals | 41c | 63.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Nationals | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Nationals | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Orioles | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…0323backed Nationals | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Nationals | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.