Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a7329bdb7be58d9b9a84711708e9047c6372da0df2d1be67855c92cf1157730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 38c | 5,475$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.9 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 17c | 3,950$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.75 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 40c | 3,050$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.96 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 36c | 2,778$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.3 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…f57dbacked Yes | 64c | 2,578$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 58c | 1,963$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.99 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed No | 37c | 1,840$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.9 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Yes | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,482$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.21 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 6c | 1,290$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.96 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,210$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 1c | 1,208$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.39 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,208$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.91 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 61c | 1,003$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.5 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 62c | 894.26$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.05 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 2c | 816$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce2…060bbacked Yes | 63c | 805.32$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 42c | 802.64$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.87 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 61c | 794.24$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 43c | 787.45$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.45 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 64c | 723.9$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.66 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 64c | 633.51$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.45 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 75c | 610.2$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.25 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 33c | 583.44$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.16 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 63c | 566.57$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.37 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 37c | 562.45$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.64 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 38c | 534.17$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.19 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 38c | 499.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 67c | 458.62$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…75aabacked Yes | 59c | 420.03$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed No | 38c | 399.63$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.77 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed No | 20c | 398.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed No | 38c | 393.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 71c | 376.51$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb396…fbc0backed Yes | 53c | 367.07$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…150dbacked No | 36c | 355$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 63c | 350$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.02 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed09…de44backed Yes | 64c | 350$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 67c | 331.1$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.46 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…36e8backed Yes | 63c | 327.21$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked No | 58c | 308.51$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 65c | 273.43$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.13 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 78c | 269.3$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.63 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed Yes | 15c | 254.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 31c | 253.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 62c | 232.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 69c | 213.37$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc6…4ddebacked No | 50c | 204.26$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28e3…1687backed No | 36c | 197.02$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 28c | 195.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.84 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 38c | 175.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585a…9efcbacked No | 36c | 173.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 48c | 167.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 37c | 161$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef3…a6f6backed Yes | 67c | 160.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…916dbacked Yes | 63c | 159.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes | 18c | 136.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 63c | 109.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d50…beecbacked Yes | 58c | 109.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…8fc2backed Yes | 62c | 104.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc849…9bd3backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…f37bbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb92e…7ca7backed Yes | 67c | 98.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Yes | 63c | 98.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked No | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 61c | 95.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…def8backed Yes | 66c | 88.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…7d44backed No | 39c | 87.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed Yes | 62c | 87.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…8ed1backed No | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 32c | 79.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…81fbbacked Yes | 64c | 73.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 45c | 71.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b06…f060backed Yes | 67c | 69.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked No | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42bd…4ff6backed Yes | 62c | 64.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed No | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…a80fbacked Yes | 62c | 59.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…3e2bbacked Yes | 37c | 58.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb071…a76ebacked Yes | 60c | 56.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yes | 68c | 55.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…0461backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…6f34backed Yes | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-18?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.