TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$353,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$354,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,330 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under55c243,569$133,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,692.2220354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over45c200,000$90,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,00039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c47,017$22,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,004.256152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under54c27,587$14,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,690.25050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Under53c17,760$9,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,321.9767051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over46c15,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02d…e756backed Over46c10,352$4,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,785.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c7,571$3,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,494.461,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c6,639$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.041,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.5540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c3,645$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.12,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under54c3,528$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.736748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.857949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4406653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Over46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3802853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9927048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under43c2,345$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.0521555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Over47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under52c1,778$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.4491945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under55c1,592$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.6443456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under75c1,531$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.72,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over26c1,473$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Under56c1,270$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.812661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over47c1,070$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.961953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Under53c1,063$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.6142847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Over77c1,034$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.965149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46066552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under55c993.99$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.2927150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over45c925.43$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.4453050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over2c882.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.642174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38430946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over52c771.48$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006734.3%23 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c761$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0683149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c700.08$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0491653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cac…1695backed Under20c698.35$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.646453.1%34 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under51c686.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.2716756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over45c672.71$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.1311435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under62c646.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c635.59$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.172,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over47c629$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6379350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c612$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.973,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28232648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under72c590.99$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6143742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under55c505.05$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.272055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under53c499.98$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9933652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over47c468.22$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0651452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3739751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over46c347.83$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c330$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.484953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92fa…4604backed Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1384100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under62c254.22$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3721158.8%124 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0850…cb8cbacked Under51c249.05$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over47c220$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.427049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c1…ba5fbacked Over45c219.87$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+81.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c207.94$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.752,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Under56c205.68$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.688852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1093…d547backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under53c175.6$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.267060%42 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc62…b7ddbacked Under56c171$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.515100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under28c167.32$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.961,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9868…2767backed Under51c156.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.655046%23 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under52c154.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.06683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+59.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.59856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Under51c141.24$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6245756.2%257 W · 200 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020447.1%96 W · 108 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over46c127.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7278651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427347.9%35 W · 38 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under54c110.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7614853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Over48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.75846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f74…4fccbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b7…be96backed Under54c98.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.152147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Under69c96.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.03771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f64…4b91backed Over52c95.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae9c…63b7backed Under49c92$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over44c90.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.781,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over59c88.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8917456.3%98 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under34c85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2834538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under33c83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3116447%77 W · 87 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9794…32c9backed Under55c77.73$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5955…f86ebacked Under55c72.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c71.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6760449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ac…2de8backed Under55c69.64$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc212…c8ebbacked Under40c69.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.748050%40 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a3…fb0dbacked Under54c68.5$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over46c67.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.157648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over45c64.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.971,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over48c63.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7627453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under48c63.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.081,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under48c62.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf35…3fe7backed Under47c61.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Over46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.66259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over46c58.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.992729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over48c57.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6621754.8%119 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under54c55.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5911650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Under54c55.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.445170.6%36 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.