Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Slavia Prague beat Ludogorets?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x156d485e285ca73be7fabbc2a751c2fb1448c05ff552777152b910edbc0551c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 48c | 8,805$4,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,595.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 52c | 6,600$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 51c | 3,500$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.97 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 49c | 2,171$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.52 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 50c | 1,601$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 50c | 1,592$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 52c | 613.43$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.54 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d1…c566backed No | 51c | 350.4$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 53c | 324.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 53c | 211.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…7c7abacked No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 53c | 186.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked Yes | 49c | 115.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb560…d913backed No | 51c | 115$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 47c | 103.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 50c | 100.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Yes | 47c | 93.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 68c | 42.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…ec37backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…e195backed Yes | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 53c | 25.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slavia Prague beat Ludogorets?this page
- Will Ludogorets beat Slavia Prague?No won
- Will the match between Ludogorets and Slavia Prague end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.