NHL · resolved market
SHL: Malmoe vs. Oerebro HK
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f8563afa4cc9c9cbb9b76d4933b776a6c52ba2456f8d41418fab06b8138a02c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oerebro HKof Malmoe, Oerebro HK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Oerebro HK | 40c | 2,546$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.1 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Malmoe | 60c | 958.5$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.87 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Malmoe | 60c | 594.25$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Malmoe | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…6f4ebacked Oerebro HK | 41c | 350$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7340…4656backed Malmoe | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Malmoe | 61c | 181.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…2516backed Malmoe | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Malmoe | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…f8c0backed Malmoe | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +151%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…2425backed Malmoe | 66c | 96.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Oerebro HK | 37c | 60.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Malmoe | 53c | 56.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Oerebro HK | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…6179backed Malmoe | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Oerebro HK | 51c | 47.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Oerebro HK | 28c | 43.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Oerebro HK | 41c | 31.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Malmoe | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…c7bdbacked Malmoe | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.