Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x604129f9de652aea6836d398afa3fd1c1c5fe4bdcdf4034f0ca38db93ae697bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 37c | 16,879$6,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,244.91 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 10,331$6,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,809.86 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 50c | 5,864$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 1,797$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.46 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 50c | 1,681$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.5 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 50c | 1,470$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.03 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 55c | 1,398$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…35fcbacked Yes | 50c | 1,344$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.68 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed No | 4c | 1,005$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 24c | 922.4$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.41 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 48c | 828.82$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.94 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 3c | 668.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…87aebacked No | 51c | 660.92$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 619.77$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 481.14$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 73c | 429.78$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.04 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 429.42$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.12 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Yes | 50c | 396.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Yes | 73c | 344.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed No | 15c | 299.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 51c | 279.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.19 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 74c | 270.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 251$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed No | 12c | 250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 53c | 244.53$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 19c | 212.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…4eeebacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 51c | 177.87$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 50c | 134.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 65c | 131.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 73c | 120.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 49c | 119.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 23c | 95.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 92.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 70c | 86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 35c | 84.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 50c | 79.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked Yes | 51c | 77.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 64c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…a9e9backed Yes | 73c | 62.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 58.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 50c | 58.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…f3d0backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 69c | 48.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 37c | 47.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked No | 49c | 40.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 50c | 33.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 50c | 28.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 45c | 26.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d72…8229backed Yes | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…5cdbbacked Yes | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Yes | 76c | 18.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes | 71c | 17.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1a87backed Yes | 66c | 16.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.