NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f073d45f28963a4497a4921f1698c42112b718298669a46b411ac789b30a5e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3176…06bbbacked Over | 46c | 365$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…0020backed Over | 46c | 363$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 46c | 326.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…51febacked Under | 54c | 299$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…f9c8backed Over | 46c | 278$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b0…3ffcbacked Under | 54c | 221$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 54c | 215.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f1…bdd9backed Under | 54c | 191$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…61d0backed Over | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…db8fbacked Under | 54c | 172$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6377…8522backed Under | 54c | 167$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7386…ac1dbacked Under | 54c | 153$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23a…0e28backed Under | 54c | 149$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463b…6460backed Over | 46c | 149$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed Under | 55c | 133.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…6ff7backed Over | 46c | 119$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f2…7bdcbacked Under | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 92.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 80c | 82.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…cec8backed Over | 45c | 69.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Over | 45c | 63.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 58c | 31.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5this page
- Bruins vs. FlyersFlyers won
- Bruins vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Flyers won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.