Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x746ebc0182fd9fb4472f07697388f04c9208bc1ca2d90d77b10b2c4c005727a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 10c | 15,505$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.06 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 10c | 10,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 5c | 8,554$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.78 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 5,548$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.77 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 3c | 5,107$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…641fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,390$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 11c | 4,021$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.27 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 10c | 4,009$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.93 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 9c | 3,594$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Yes | 9c | 3,262$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 3c | 3,123$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,654$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 10c | 2,522$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.16 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Yes | 8c | 1,688$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 9c | 1,533$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,249$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…a7adbacked Yes | 9c | 1,088$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,056$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…1220backed Yes | 6c | 865.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…c664backed Yes | 10c | 820.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 10c | 799.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Yes | 9c | 770$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Yes | 3c | 750$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 6c | 678.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 12c | 662$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 5c | 649.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 11c | 648.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…5303backed Yes | 3c | 630.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…7f87backed Yes | 3c | 612.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 11c | 609.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 4c | 602.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 10c | 599.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…eda5backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…c97fbacked Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 4c | 500.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 3c | 432.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 10c | 421.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…8f6bbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…1dccbacked Yes | 9c | 360.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…a7bcbacked Yes | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…b92abacked Yes | 5c | 308.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 10c | 267.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 4c | 250.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 9c | 241.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 12c | 235.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Yes | 13c | 226.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…b26bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…491abacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e2…1026backed Yes | 10c | 163.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 12c | 115.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…075ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6f…037abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-16?this page
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.