Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79d378000c7271fd43e67c0bb6c76a671038d48fb2221ebbc5ed92d87b72f60a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 13c | 7,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 15c | 4,007$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.81 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 2,479$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 2,141$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.31 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,249$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 15c | 986.67$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…e23abacked Yes | 14c | 707.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 698.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 13c | 684.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 15c | 599.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 13c | 500$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed No | 80c | 499.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 429.78$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…8f6bbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 4c | 364.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…a1b6backed Yes | 12c | 335.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 14c | 295.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 262.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Yes | 14c | 255.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 18c | 221.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x920c…25b6backed Yes | 15c | 215.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…2b38backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 80c | 207.11$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 178$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed Yes | 19c | 172.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 18c | 157.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 14c | 148.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 17c | 132.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 19c | 132$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 16c | 122.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 12c | 107.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 15c | 103.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…d802backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…cafabacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…fcadbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-16?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.