South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb1e2fb116a494cacca5294d03e9fe221ed70fc11bb5fef9356f352ccadb22d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 80c | 2,169$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 46c | 2,011$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.58 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 1,399$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.05 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 913.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 25c | 871$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 870.53$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.77 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 44c | 681.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.81 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 44c | 681.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.81 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 59c | 626.85$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 71c | 365.82$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 47c | 360$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 56c | 251.1$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 48c | 209.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 201.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 59c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 53c | 195.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 56c | 175.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 27c | 165.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 165.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 135.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 65c | 132.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 76c | 130.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d88…1695backed Yes | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 76c | 112.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked No | 22c | 100.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 47c | 89.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 37c | 78.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 68c | 73.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…80b3backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 60.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 19c | 60.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Yes | 43c | 55.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 54.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…d892backed Yes | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…ab1bbacked Yes | 73c | 50.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 54c | 50.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6e…c21abacked Yes | 45c | 48.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 45c | 46.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 56c | 45.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b1…a67bbacked Yes | 47c | 44.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 32c | 43.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 56c | 42.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 47c | 41.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 48c | 41.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…0eb2backed Yes | 66c | 40.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b48…85d2backed Yes | 51c | 39.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 50c | 37.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 54c | 32.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e0…b306backed Yes | 61c | 32.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 32c | 31.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 42c | 30.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 49c | 30.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318e…fc89backed Yes | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 61c | 19.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 55c | 18.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tolima win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will CD Tolima vs. Club Nacional de Football end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.