Tennis · resolved market
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs Keegan Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45213405c2225a148463a92690191a1ccc58d33220b53cf47c5ffba21f949c54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pavel Kotovof Pavel Kotov, Keegan Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Keegan Smith | 17c | 9,166$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.12 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Keegan Smith | 18c | 9,149$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.3 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Keegan Smith | 17c | 6,555$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.61 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Keegan Smith | 20c | 2,697$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.48 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Keegan Smith | 7c | 1,658$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Pavel Kotov | 70c | 1,547$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.87 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Keegan Smith | 19c | 1,433$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.93 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Keegan Smith | 16c | 1,297$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.35 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Keegan Smith | 16c | 1,261$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Keegan Smith | 15c | 1,176$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Keegan Smith | 16c | 1,051$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.53 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Pavel Kotov | 71c | 970.08$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.31 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Keegan Smith | 17c | 945.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 321 | 31.2%100 W · 221 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Keegan Smith | 9c | 600.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 121 | 7.4%9 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Pavel Kotov | 70c | 530.5$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.15 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Pavel Kotov | 79c | 527.41$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Keegan Smith | 29c | 478.69$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Keegan Smith | 13c | 381.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Keegan Smith | 16c | 356.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Keegan Smith | 22c | 353.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 1,144 | 47.2%540 W · 604 L | +64.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Pavel Kotov | 70c | 332.96$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Keegan Smith | 32c | 324.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Keegan Smith | 21c | 304.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Keegan Smith | 21c | 265.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Keegan Smith | 17c | 253.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 298 | 51%152 W · 146 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Keegan Smith | 18c | 243.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Keegan Smith | 13c | 235.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Pavel Kotov | 69c | 213.34$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 2,059 | 59.5%1,226 W · 833 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Keegan Smith | 22c | 213.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9002…5b35backed Keegan Smith | 13c | 212.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Keegan Smith | 22c | 211.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Keegan Smith | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Keegan Smith | 13c | 194.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Keegan Smith | 13c | 187.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Pavel Kotov | 69c | 183.5$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Keegan Smith | 30c | 181.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 7,774 | 47.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L | +40.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Keegan Smith | 13c | 180.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…f87dbacked Keegan Smith | 17c | 178.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Keegan Smith | 26c | 160.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…6d72backed Keegan Smith | 21c | 159.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Keegan Smith | 16c | 159.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 762 | 12.1%92 W · 670 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked Keegan Smith | 13c | 150.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Keegan Smith | 31c | 149.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Keegan Smith | 18c | 149.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Keegan Smith | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 1,472 | 45%662 W · 810 L | +42.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Keegan Smith | 16c | 135.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Keegan Smith | 13c | 130.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Keegan Smith | 13c | 125.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Keegan Smith | 13c | 125.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 263 | 51.7%136 W · 127 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Keegan Smith | 13c | 125.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Keegan Smith | 13c | 121.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Keegan Smith | 21c | 109.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Keegan Smith | 21c | 109.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Keegan Smith | 13c | 109.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Keegan Smith | 17c | 109.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 2,090 | 52.2%1,091 W · 999 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Keegan Smith | 13c | 106.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Keegan Smith | 16c | 103.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Keegan Smith | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Pavel Kotov | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Keegan Smith | 15c | 98.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Pavel Kotov | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Pavel Kotov | 68c | 98.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Keegan Smith | 35c | 97.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pavel Kotov | 76c | 89.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Keegan Smith | 17c | 89.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Keegan Smith | 17c | 83.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Keegan Smith | 27c | 81.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Keegan Smith | 15c | 79.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 166 | 45.2%75 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…3db9backed Keegan Smith | 16c | 76.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Keegan Smith | 16c | 75.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 4,510 | 51.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L | +135.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Pavel Kotov | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…2b1abacked Keegan Smith | 20c | 71.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Keegan Smith | 33c | 70.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Keegan Smith | 33c | 70.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Pavel Kotov | 68c | 69.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…0cb2backed Keegan Smith | 21c | 66.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Keegan Smith | 29c | 61.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Keegan Smith | 28c | 61.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Pavel Kotov | 69c | 60.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Keegan Smith | 31c | 60.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1,981 | 46.2%916 W · 1,065 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Keegan Smith | 18c | 60.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked Keegan Smith | 33c | 58.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pavel Kotov | 65c | 57.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 7,201 | 49.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L | +114.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Pavel Kotov | 70c | 56.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Pavel Kotov | 73c | 54.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Keegan Smith | 22c | 50.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Keegan Smith | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Keegan Smith | 34c | 44.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Pavel Kotov | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Pavel Kotov | 71c | 41.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked Keegan Smith | 33c | 36.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Keegan Smith | 31c | 35.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…065dbacked Keegan Smith | 34c | 35.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf79…97cabacked Pavel Kotov | 69c | 30.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb96f…f533backed Pavel Kotov | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Pavel Kotov | 67c | 21.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…91c3backed Pavel Kotov | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed Pavel Kotov | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Pavel Kotov | 69c | 14.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Pavel Kotov | 69c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 165 | 60%99 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs Keegan Smiththis page
- Kotov vs. Smith: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Pavel Kotov vs. Keegan Smith: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.