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Tennis · resolved market

Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs Keegan Smith

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pavel Kotovof Pavel Kotov, Keegan Smith
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,508 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Keegan Smith17c9,166$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.128,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Keegan Smith18c9,149$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.36,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Keegan Smith17c6,555$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.617,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Keegan Smith20c2,697$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.486523.1%15 W · 50 L-9.4wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Keegan Smith7c1,658$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.322934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Pavel Kotov70c1,547$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.8746473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Keegan Smith19c1,433$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.934,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Keegan Smith16c1,297$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3536944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Keegan Smith16c1,261$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.840548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Keegan Smith15c1,176$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3623758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Keegan Smith16c1,051$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5350644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Pavel Kotov71c970.08$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3150458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Keegan Smith17c945.11$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7532131.2%100 W · 221 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf84b…6455backed Keegan Smith9c600.45$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.381217.4%9 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f9f…2cb8backed Pavel Kotov70c530.5$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1516050.6%81 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Pavel Kotov79c527.41$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.224,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Keegan Smith29c478.69$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.721,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Keegan Smith13c381.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5432050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Keegan Smith16c356.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.971,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Keegan Smith22c353.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.381,14447.2%540 W · 604 L+64.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Pavel Kotov70c332.96$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5310065%65 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Keegan Smith32c324.5$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.363,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Keegan Smith21c304.41$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0617656.3%99 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Keegan Smith21c265.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.768459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Keegan Smith17c253.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1429851%152 W · 146 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Keegan Smith18c243.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8810860.2%65 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Keegan Smith13c235.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5610150.5%51 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Pavel Kotov69c213.34$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.262,05959.5%1,226 W · 833 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Keegan Smith22c213.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2211958.8%70 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9002…5b35backed Keegan Smith13c212.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Keegan Smith22c211.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.96365.1%41 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Keegan Smith30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609246.7%43 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Keegan Smith13c194.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3576853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Keegan Smith13c187.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4219153.4%102 W · 89 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Pavel Kotov69c183.5$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8922755.1%125 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Keegan Smith30c181.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.577,77447.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L+40.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Keegan Smith13c180.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.585348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…f87dbacked Keegan Smith17c178.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.411030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Keegan Smith26c160.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2412861.7%79 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f3c…6d72backed Keegan Smith21c159.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.34520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-70.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Keegan Smith16c159.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3176212.1%92 W · 670 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba2…f46bbacked Keegan Smith13c150.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.524454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Keegan Smith31c149.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4729230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Keegan Smith18c149.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6210858.3%63 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Keegan Smith33c145.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.991,47245%662 W · 810 L+42.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Keegan Smith16c135.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.163,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Keegan Smith13c130.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1848453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Keegan Smith13c125.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3310454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Keegan Smith13c125.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3326351.7%136 W · 127 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Keegan Smith13c125.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.335354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Keegan Smith13c121.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.851,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Keegan Smith21c109.73$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.163171%22 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Keegan Smith21c109.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.335950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Keegan Smith13c109.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2254634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Keegan Smith17c109.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.152,09052.2%1,091 W · 999 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Keegan Smith13c106.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.911,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Keegan Smith16c103.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5632043.8%140 W · 180 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Keegan Smith31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3187135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75b…b4f5backed Pavel Kotov70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306563.1%41 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Keegan Smith15c98.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.846,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Pavel Kotov70c98.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4635157%200 W · 151 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Pavel Kotov68c98.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3977967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Keegan Smith35c97.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6119346.6%90 W · 103 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pavel Kotov76c89.65$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.119,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Keegan Smith17c89.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.233557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Keegan Smith17c83.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.220836.5%76 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Keegan Smith27c81.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.063,89135%1,362 W · 2,529 L+93.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Keegan Smith15c79.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2716645.2%75 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaddf…3db9backed Keegan Smith16c76.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.491526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Keegan Smith16c75.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.154,51051.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L+135.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Pavel Kotov68c72.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0829444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32be…2b1abacked Keegan Smith20c71.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Keegan Smith33c70.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.358258.5%48 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Keegan Smith33c70.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.354365.1%28 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Pavel Kotov68c69.81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.325658.9%33 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed Keegan Smith21c66.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.162846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed Keegan Smith29c61.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.856246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x806b…cccabacked Keegan Smith28c61.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.033246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Pavel Kotov69c60.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+166.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Keegan Smith31c60.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.761,98146.2%916 W · 1,065 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Keegan Smith18c60.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8731656.3%178 W · 138 L+19.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked Keegan Smith33c58.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.23650%18 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pavel Kotov65c57.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.437,20149.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L+114.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ea…d849backed Pavel Kotov70c56.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1716370.6%115 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Pavel Kotov73c54.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6153457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Keegan Smith22c50.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.173661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Keegan Smith31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.512447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Keegan Smith34c44.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0115059.3%89 W · 61 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Pavel Kotov68c43.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8588560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Pavel Kotov71c41.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1986470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63c3…a7fdbacked Keegan Smith33c36.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.132564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Keegan Smith31c35.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9924249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc510…065dbacked Keegan Smith34c35.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.041450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf79…97cabacked Pavel Kotov69c30.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.486165.6%40 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb96f…f533backed Pavel Kotov70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.421758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Pavel Kotov67c21.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1623949.4%118 W · 121 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae1c…91c3backed Pavel Kotov70c21.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.312766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa633…1cf7backed Pavel Kotov80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7a…2488backed Pavel Kotov69c14.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.618968.5%61 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5647…8237backed Pavel Kotov69c14.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5616560%99 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.