Mls · resolved market
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7250727f077ed6f2bfc6495e06b744ceff8703f8f766b426afabaea7e7abf127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 24c | 21,273$5,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,240.65 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 9,525$6,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,324.66 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 7,581$5,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.39 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…2075backed No | 76c | 6,031$4,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 5,614$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.41 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 75c | 2,665$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.38 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 76c | 2,560$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.11 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 77c | 1,288$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.7 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 866.55$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.31 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 787.84$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.4 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 787.52$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.15 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 75c | 700.72$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.54 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 29c | 623.11$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 10c | 599.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 591.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.29 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 24c | 535.86$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.21 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 75c | 470.08$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked No | 73c | 379.33$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 9c | 374$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.34 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 19c | 371$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.16 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 22c | 351.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 18c | 308.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 291.34$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.42 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 16c | 286.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 17c | 270.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 23c | 246.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 243.77$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 21c | 238.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed No | 47c | 213.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 25c | 200.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 193.13$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.78 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 29c | 189.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 26c | 188.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.51 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 76c | 180$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 163$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 27c | 160.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 27c | 160.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Yes | 76c | 144.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 78c | 141.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 68c | 135.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 60c | 133.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked No | 65c | 129.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 80c | 128.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 75c | 125.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 52c | 120.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 33c | 119.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Yes | 29c | 107.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 31c | 92.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 76c | 91.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed No | 77c | 91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 21c | 87.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 18c | 83.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 18c | 83.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 31c | 81.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 46c | 81.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 77c | 81.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 77c | 81.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 19c | 78.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 21c | 78.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 76c | 77.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 77c | 76.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 28c | 63.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 28c | 63.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 73c | 54.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 77c | 52.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 28c | 51.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a9fbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 77c | 49.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 28c | 49.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 28c | 49.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 28c | 49.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 28c | 49.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 78c | 42.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…61aebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 33.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 79c | 32.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…b573backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.