Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a6a5bc2168c805caf6f3573c6de29df41c12d07c1d3376213a7967c83c30321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 47c | 68,073$31,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,100.52 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 19,498$8,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,120.78 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 52c | 17,298$8,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,994.96 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 49c | 13,457$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,877.09 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 46c | 10,614$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,731.41 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 53c | 7,636$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.63 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 28c | 5,723$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.78 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 52c | 5,637$2,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.46 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Yes | 20c | 5,045$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…0acebacked Yes | 51c | 4,335$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 55c | 4,331$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.65 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes | 62c | 3,713$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Yes | 55c | 3,578$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 52c | 3,462$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 19c | 3,148$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.12 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b3…468cbacked Yes | 53c | 3,103$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Yes | 52c | 2,819$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.73 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 2,791$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.52 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 52c | 2,768$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.3 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 52c | 2,623$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.17 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Yes | 46c | 2,165$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 46c | 2,163$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed No | 79c | 2,133$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.85 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 2,021$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.83 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 18c | 1,970$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.33 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.91 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 46c | 1,700$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.98 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 1,661$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.84 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 30c | 1,527$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.99 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 72c | 1,438$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 1,373$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.9 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 46c | 1,267$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.04 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 47c | 1,239$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.21 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 49c | 1,139$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.19 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 53c | 1,083$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.68 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 56c | 880.23$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.62 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 52c | 781.23$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.09 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Yes | 36c | 741.81$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 53c | 689.24$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.23 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 42c | 654.16$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.21 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked No | 78c | 651.28$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7d…21c7backed Yes | 5c | 640.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Yes | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 53c | 620.62$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.12 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 54c | 570.32$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.05 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 53c | 547$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.63 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 51c | 535.86$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.29 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 53c | 471.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 51c | 427.14$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 54c | 418$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes | 55c | 416.73$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 401.47$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 43c | 397.43$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.82 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 69c | 374$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 55c | 358$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 351.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.05 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Yes | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 50c | 334.61$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.85 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 72c | 297$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Yes | 54c | 292$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 52c | 245$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 234.93$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 35c | 230.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…39eabacked Yes | 52c | 222.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Yes | 45c | 213.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes | 55c | 210$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Yes | 55c | 209$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 47c | 195.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 54c | 192.83$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 48c | 190.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 54c | 190.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 54c | 188.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 54c | 184.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Yes | 49c | 171.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 51c | 166.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed No | 58c | 162.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 56c | 161.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 26c | 160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 153.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 52c | 153.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.