South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Independiente vs. Racing Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e6547de21fa12463cd858c5e1f0f64dfa673c82571f23c8ccb0d63b691e1434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 33c | 2,931$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.14 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 68c | 1,410$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.35 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 978.09$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.31 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 634.29$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.41 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 521.19$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.07 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 52c | 417.76$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.81 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 370$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 16c | 307.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 291.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 270.13$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.24 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 35c | 222.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.01 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 52c | 217.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1f…feb5backed Yes | 48c | 195.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 37c | 192.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 169$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed No | 67c | 147.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed No | 67c | 147.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 67c | 137.87$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 67c | 124.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…5211backed No | 56c | 113.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…8866backed Yes | 11c | 105.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 71c | 98.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed No | 55c | 96.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…271fbacked Yes | 13c | 90.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 67c | 88.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed No | 56c | 86.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 67c | 59.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…445cbacked Yes | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…9086backed No | 55c | 52.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 65c | 47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 52c | 38.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 37.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 35.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…6a9bbacked No | 56c | 34.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 65c | 30.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 43c | 30.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 35c | 28.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…5fe1backed No | 52c | 27.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed No | 74c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…065dbacked Yes | 48c | 25.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9abc…d69dbacked No | 57c | 23.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 45c | 23.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 69c | 22.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 69c | 22.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 69c | 22.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 69c | 22.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 69c | 22.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 69c | 22.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 69c | 22.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked No | 54c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…6327backed No | 56c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af7…37e2backed No | 67c | 19.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 69c | 19.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 67c | 16.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Independiente vs. Racing Club end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.