South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbd5fbb9628f164e57476196844708fb051270540be60fc662a7543711bb6838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 27c | 3,273$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.29 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 23c | 2,034$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 31c | 1,665$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.25 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 1,578$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.71 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,176$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 1,097$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.03 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 1,078$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed No | 66c | 929.58$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 29c | 827.39$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.34 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 15c | 799.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 495.86$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 446.87$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 67c | 416.27$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 40c | 399.1$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 72c | 359.12$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 353.58$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 24c | 346.48$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 28c | 337.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 33c | 200.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 19c | 175.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked No | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…b36dbacked Yes | 29c | 130.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 129$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 76c | 124.47$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 117.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 70c | 114.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 42c | 108.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 24c | 108.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…82a5backed Yes | 13c | 99.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2168…99fcbacked Yes | 28c | 95.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 90.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked No | 67c | 80.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 68c | 75.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 75c | 73.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked No | 75c | 70.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 28c | 67.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 58.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…1821backed Yes | 27c | 51.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 25c | 51.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 24c | 50.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 47.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 25c | 47.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 64c | 44.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 42.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…1262backed Yes | 27c | 38.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba18…e136backed Yes | 54c | 35.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 29c | 35.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 59c | 35.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 51c | 28.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 23.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked No | 67c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will CA Independiente vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.