Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3935ee814972c1b73be7915f5b695953e78f082d541a670ac8d27996494102f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 3,403$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 1,819$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.3 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 68c | 1,700$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.6 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 61c | 1,103$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.67 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 41c | 968.4$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.39 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 37c | 789.47$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.37 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 38c | 715.76$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.72 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 29c | 650.88$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.1 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 39c | 500$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.24 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 23c | 458$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.05 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 52c | 445.11$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 29c | 174$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 48c | 169.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 71c | 164$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 42c | 153$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Yes | 75c | 132.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Yes | 62c | 132$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed No | 24c | 113.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4b…b4ebbacked No | 31c | 112.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked No | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 50c | 77.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed No | 31c | 73.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 72c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed No | 33c | 61.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 29c | 57.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedef…a67ebacked Yes | 69c | 54.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 52.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…065dbacked No | 31c | 47.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 69c | 40.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 37c | 38.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 48c | 38.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 32c | 37.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 31c | 35.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 41c | 31.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 67c | 23.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 69c | 20.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.