MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e10d099557e5d1668a4fc2154c0f0755ecec4ec4c5ed26d04f23589504ee9a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 12,518$5,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,711.2 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 7,824$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 43c | 6,518$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.51 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 6,465$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 47c | 3,597$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.31 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 64c | 3,000$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.97 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 57c | 2,845$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.07 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 22c | 1,429$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.42 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 49c | 1,297$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.51 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 727.8$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 25c | 695.9$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.56 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 48c | 619.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.34 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 79c | 614.5$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.04 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 59c | 476.73$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 435.49$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.81 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 49c | 395.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.87 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 63c | 386.49$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 38c | 361.48$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.95 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 40c | 347.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.29 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 61c | 338.69$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 44c | 307.28$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 53c | 287.41$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.49 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 39c | 245.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 53c | 213.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 46c | 205$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over | 43c | 189.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 45c | 159.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Over | 34c | 123.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 48c | 116.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 57c | 106.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…065dbacked Over | 50c | 105.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 102.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Under | 48c | 101.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 12c | 94.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 46c | 84.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Over | 46c | 78.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Over | 43c | 78.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 55c | 73.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 51c | 68.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 75c | 64.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Over | 48c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 49c | 45.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 46c | 32.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 45c | 31.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 49c | 31.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118a…457ebacked Under | 77c | 30.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 48c | 30.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 44c | 29.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 46c | 28.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 55c | 28.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles AngelsTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.