MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32222ba8f4ef557105eae895fa0e7491fe27ba2421dfb3660ce0e16a6e1fb446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 5,028$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.2 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 3,934$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 1,586$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.49 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 1,200$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 556.32$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.07 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 540$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 534.47$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.34 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 516$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.88 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 507.59$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.59 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 496.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.75 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 417.44$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.69 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 373.23$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.32 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 367.77$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 364.45$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.92 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 330.25$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 256.13$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 255$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 238.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 222.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 206.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 196.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 127.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 124.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 124.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 111.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 108.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…0238backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 97.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de6…4612backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 92.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 85.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 85.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 70.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 70.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…fe5dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 70$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 69.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 66.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 60.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 58.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…cbffbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 58.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 53.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 51.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 48.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 45.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 41.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…0432backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 40.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 39.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 35.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 27.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 26.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 24.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 22.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles AngelsTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.