MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x060f750ad2b5895421822c1442bee78be45f060e3e1eae4c483f90669d80e34f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Los Angeles Angels, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 3,525$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.97 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Los Angeles Angels | 17c | 2,029$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 17c | 919.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 17c | 778.58$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Angels | 18c | 563.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Angels | 18c | 550.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 507.63$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…e934backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 273.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Angels | 18c | 239.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 228.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 16c | 197.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 27c | 154.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 111.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 101.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 92.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Angels | 17c | 89.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 75.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 15.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles AngelsTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.