Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebdb743ec0d84e60ed79b5a67e29b63a9429af19b2ae165354a3a8cd0ccaeb51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb082…30e0backed Yes | 79c | 1,203$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 50c | 537.31$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.99 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 77c | 431.69$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 40c | 351.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…f71cbacked Yes | 72c | 344.23$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 292.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.83 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…eb3dbacked No | 13c | 270.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 7c | 256.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6230…6debbacked Yes | 56c | 224.18$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 19c | 217.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 37c | 198.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.29 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 43c | 186.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 41c | 183.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ac…c0b5backed Yes | 49c | 181.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 59c | 166$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 34c | 158.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 55c | 143.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 54c | 130.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 54c | 130.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 50c | 121.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Yes | 78c | 118.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…3947backed No | 56c | 116.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…996bbacked Yes | 69c | 116.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 65 | 78.5%51 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 42c | 115.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 45c | 111.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 34c | 110.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 26c | 102.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…bdf7backed Yes | 49c | 102.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 51c | 100.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…baa4backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…8a3cbacked No | 56c | 99.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 34c | 99.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 36c | 98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 52c | 97.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed Yes | 43c | 94.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…3255backed Yes | 61c | 90.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1c…05cfbacked Yes | 45c | 89.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 42c | 83.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…4a06backed Yes | 36c | 83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…fb04backed Yes | 57c | 82.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes | 42c | 80.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 46c | 78.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…2420backed Yes | 58c | 76.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414d…856ebacked Yes | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…908fbacked Yes | 37c | 73.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 45c | 71.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 58c | 65.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…fa84backed Yes | 47c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7309…95bdbacked Yes | 40c | 64.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed No | 22c | 64.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 41c | 64.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Yes | 61c | 63.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…b0c7backed Yes | 52c | 58.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 56c | 55.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…919ebacked Yes | 38c | 53.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Yes | 39c | 52.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…0327backed Yes | 48c | 51.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed No | 48c | 51.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 50c | 50.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b39…eae4backed No | 67c | 49.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 48c | 46.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…9cd2backed Yes | 40c | 44.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…22fabacked No | 58c | 42.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 61c | 41.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…1b8cbacked Yes | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked Yes | 47c | 39.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 41c | 39.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa201…e694backed No | 59c | 38.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…2a29backed Yes | 47c | 34.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -71%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…d023backed Yes | 43c | 34.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…6291backed Yes | 52c | 33.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1c67backed Yes | 73c | 32.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 98 | 77.6%76 W · 22 L | +16.3wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…e158backed No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 49c | 31.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…2f09backed Yes | 44c | 31.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc00…ad0dbacked Yes | 51c | 31.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…2eeebacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…2fd0backed Yes | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…ba17backed Yes | 49c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…60f7backed Yes | 38c | 29.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e2…2b82backed Yes | 49c | 29.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…aab7backed Yes | 63c | 28.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed No | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 43c | 27.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed No | 46c | 26.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on March 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.