Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8b7d0825e0dd7d8a073ee9983660d67960a359c3e612d82a922ada7ce121e85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b86…bd28backed Yes | 66c | 2,441$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…218ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,196$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…7831backed Yes | 33c | 1,088$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +200%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed No | 28c | 1,000$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.6 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…7883backed No | 33c | 999.79$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 24c | 956.39$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 67c | 858.09$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.17 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 46c | 775.86$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.33 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 34c | 704.44$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.55 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…8d76backed Yes | 52c | 632.64$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Yes | 80c | 500$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 60c | 493.71$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.13 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7c…42bfbacked Yes | 32c | 438.43$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 31c | 419.06$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 26c | 400.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 32c | 299.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 68c | 279.39$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 64c | 276.9$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 28c | 272.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 31c | 272.03$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.12 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 77c | 270.47$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 29c | 236.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 32c | 216.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 31c | 190$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 68c | 177.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 79c | 177.32$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 67c | 156.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 28c | 149.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 147$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 303 | 13.9%42 W · 261 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…4094backed Yes | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 67c | 120$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed No | 68c | 119.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 39c | 117.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 58c | 107.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 54c | 107.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 314 | 18.5%58 W · 256 L | -30.3wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x676c…ce51backed No | 27c | 103.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab57…e05fbacked No | 70c | 103.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf607…afa9backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 42c | 77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…cd48backed No | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 68c | 74.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 57c | 73.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 66c | 71.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 45c | 71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 55c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed No | 67c | 64.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 32c | 62.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 41c | 59.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 70c | 52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…30f2backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 32c | 46.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 68c | 43.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 66c | 43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…e321backed Yes | 38c | 42.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 51c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…0c06backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…38e2backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5a…3b9cbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…9aeabacked Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 62c | 36.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…d8e3backed No | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…8460backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked No | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…0c74backed Yes | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 68c | 26.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 40c | 26.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Yes | 68c | 24.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 46c | 22.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 49c | 20.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…c61fbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…a8dabacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…5a56backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…3bd2backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…9c91backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?this page
- Will Core PCE YoY be 3.0% or less in July?No won
- Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?No won
- Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.