CS2 · resolved market
Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1e4cc596122ba478bf408f17da1861a643c0991b5e10ab61f88911c1b0017f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f36…89cabacked Yes | 43c | 1,747$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Yes | 42c | 1,207$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.6 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 56c | 1,066$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…710bbacked Yes | 48c | 708.21$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked No | 61c | 435.3$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.88 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 18c | 383.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +175.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e7…6453backed Yes | 45c | 355.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 73c | 281.55$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed No | 69c | 275$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.62 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 45c | 220$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa055…12b7backed Yes | 11c | 214$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +165.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 62c | 150.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 55c | 147.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 43c | 145.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x119a…2192backed No | 49c | 141$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 42c | 140.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 125.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 44c | 110.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 42c | 91.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed No | 50c | 87.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 55c | 70.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…83e1backed No | 56c | 69.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 46c | 68.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…f0c8backed Yes | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 51c | 60.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 172 | 35.5%61 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 48c | 58.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed Yes | 50c | 56.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0600…cf03backed No | 56c | 53.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf15…91c5backed Yes | 46c | 52.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…6af4backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…cca1backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…a5ecbacked No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 50c | 43.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…2c74backed No | 49c | 42.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 31c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…9488backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1583…bddebacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87db…e21ebacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9586…c022backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 42c | 39.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e5…b4bdbacked Yes | 44c | 39.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 62c | 37.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Yes | 58c | 34.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8d…3a6cbacked Yes | 58c | 32.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed Yes | 53c | 30.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba9f…87acbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a78bbacked No | 55c | 29.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 51c | 23.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed No | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c2…bb4fbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…8327backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…0358backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…3017backed No | 67c | 18.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?this page
- Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?No won
- Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.