CS2 · resolved market
Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ec4d9d1b7ab4d9aea42d861f461fbc813772f196dfa7e92ec9da8ce9494a605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f36…89cabacked Yes | 26c | 1,019$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…710bbacked Yes | 28c | 591.88$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 60c | 394.71$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.83 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…53f3backed No | 56c | 394.71$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Yes | 42c | 304.04$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked Yes | 48c | 245.78$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…8ff1backed Yes | 47c | 203.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 43c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 38c | 179.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 64c | 143.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…7f26backed Yes | 26c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…4664backed Yes | 46c | 106.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb714…79e0backed Yes | 44c | 105.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 39c | 97.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed No | 61c | 94.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…f0c8backed Yes | 42c | 92.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 87.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 51c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…1764backed Yes | 15c | 83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…8177backed No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 54c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed No | 50c | 60.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 72c | 60.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 64c | 56.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…76e9backed No | 61c | 52.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 59c | 50.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…c072backed No | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 172 | 35.5%61 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54bf…cb7fbacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8d…3a6cbacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…9ee8backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 59c | 39.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…cd48backed No | 61c | 37.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…cca1backed Yes | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…7123backed Yes | 29c | 34.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked Yes | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 43c | 31.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87db…e21ebacked No | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…6105backed No | 61c | 25.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…aa50backed Yes | 59c | 21.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…e279backed Yes | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…5558backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa191…bc15backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…399ebacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…c2a8backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…202bbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed Yes | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 68c | 17.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?this page
- Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?Yes won
- Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.