CS2 · resolved market
Will There be 4-6 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa17d0319ba1a8ec0a778945dbd51b6a6ada4c9872921b67104d12b80429854f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x628d…2190backed Yes | 36c | 896$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…89cabacked Yes | 10c | 215.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 12c | 206$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…7a5abacked No | 64c | 188.02$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 64c | 167$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 60c | 156.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 72c | 85.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 63c | 83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…d6cbbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…aa50backed Yes | 41c | 46.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 60c | 40.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfede…436dbacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 53c | 23.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…3eebbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6d…9128backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…0358backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…c2a8backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.