NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4da96cf8550922451f9de36fa30aaec6cbcde9bcb3412a2a0add76fb19eef616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e65…4994backed Under | 54c | 9,989$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Over | 46c | 4,751$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.57 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 2,961$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.74 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 45c | 2,819$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.21 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Over | 46c | 1,454$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 1,447$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.01 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 46c | 1,413$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.02 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 53c | 754.7$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 53c | 542.09$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.43 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked Under | 53c | 534.06$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 408.68$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.77 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 47c | 325$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 229.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Under | 55c | 217.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 6c | 205$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 55c | 183.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 53c | 148$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 58c | 133$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…4168backed Over | 46c | 109.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 102.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 52c | 87.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 46c | 51.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…ec35backed Under | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 55c | 36.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c9…bf73backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd478…0921backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…ccf1backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Bruins vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Bruins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.