Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Daniil Glinka vs Juan Carlos Prado
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcae9c4ed03a80af8b1da9f7310406e26feb3e7f4d227911822fbc68b8ea6e310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Carlos Pradoof Daniil Glinka, Juan Carlos Prado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Daniil Glinka | 37c | 5,436$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 2,791$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.71 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Juan Carlos Prado | 67c | 1,580$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.61 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 1,304$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniil Glinka | 25c | 1,264$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Juan Carlos Prado | 62c | 1,108$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.76 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…ab16backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…9453backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Daniil Glinka | 34c | 945.83$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.58 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 843.39$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.05 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Daniil Glinka | 32c | 765.81$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Juan Carlos Prado | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daniil Glinka | 17c | 396.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniil Glinka | 16c | 290.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniil Glinka | 34c | 278.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 72c | 277.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Daniil Glinka | 30c | 258.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Daniil Glinka | 18c | 258.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Daniil Glinka | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 204.86$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Juan Carlos Prado | 64c | 190.1$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Daniil Glinka | 37c | 168$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Daniil Glinka | 20c | 144.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniil Glinka | 27c | 128.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 62c | 111.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 689 | 51.1%352 W · 337 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 109.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Juan Carlos Prado | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Juan Carlos Prado | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Daniil Glinka | 17c | 97.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daniil Glinka | 14c | 80.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Daniil Glinka | 45c | 75.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Daniil Glinka | 35c | 59.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Daniil Glinka | 32c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…af18backed Daniil Glinka | 33c | 53.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Juan Carlos Prado | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Juan Carlos Prado | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Juan Carlos Prado | 65c | 52.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Daniil Glinka | 20c | 51.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Juan Carlos Prado | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Daniil Glinka | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Daniil Glinka | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Juan Carlos Prado | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Juan Carlos Prado | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Carlos Prado | 79c | 37.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Daniil Glinka | 37c | 28.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Juan Carlos Prado | 65c | 28.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Daniil Glinka | 37c | 27.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 24.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Juan Carlos Prado | 65c | 23.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42e…74b5backed Juan Carlos Prado | 65c | 20.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Juan Carlos Prado | 65c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…c1e1backed Juan Carlos Prado | 62c | 18.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Juan Carlos Prado | 65c | 16.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Juan Carlos Prado | 80c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.