Dota2 · resolved market
Will Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9923ca5e0fc0aef7e544876e5bec5d3ccf867d55d02cc06e9af799d72ed2921
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 1,200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,168$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.66 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 78c | 1,143$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 30c | 1,107$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.01 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 32c | 1,095$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44da…e225backed Yes | 70c | 1,095$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 21c | 630.15$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 24c | 598.47$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 74c | 590$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Yes | 71c | 571$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.79 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 25c | 530.18$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.73 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c8…2313backed No | 31c | 487.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 22c | 485.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 78c | 455$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 25c | 414$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 22c | 411.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 7c | 406$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 29c | 386.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 22c | 370.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 15c | 324.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40b…51d5backed No | 32c | 291.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 21c | 290.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 57c | 229.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 74c | 208$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…677abacked Yes | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfe…74e6backed No | 20c | 196.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3f…c611backed Yes | 69c | 191.81$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…7aa8backed Yes | 77c | 176.4$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 27c | 170.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 13c | 152.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 29c | 148.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 28c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 384 | 32.8%126 W · 258 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…4664backed Yes | 73c | 137.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 30c | 129.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 28c | 122$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…89cabacked Yes | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…f54ebacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed No | 26c | 99.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 28c | 96.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f0…fff4backed Yes | 74c | 94.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 22c | 94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 17c | 92.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes | 65c | 89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 454 | 70.7%321 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 31c | 86.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 30c | 83.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 17c | 83.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 28c | 78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 28c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 67c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 33c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed No | 16c | 61.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed No | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed No | 23c | 59.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 25c | 59.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 67c | 59.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 23c | 55.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…2d96backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…b575backed Yes | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 36c | 43.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…cd48backed Yes | 68c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 77c | 40.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 38c | 40.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…0358backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 78c | 39.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185d…82c1backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…6105backed Yes | 68c | 37.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 28c | 36.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0c…6316backed Yes | 67c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe675…e967backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked Yes | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 67c | 27.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed Yes | 78c | 23.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…795bbacked Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…4da1backed Yes | 70c | 20.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…574abacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d3…e307backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…e8d0backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…af9cbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…0c74backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0022…c966backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…7659backed Yes | 70c | 14.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?this page
- Will China region win The International 2026?No won
- Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.