Dota2 · resolved market
Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe53e3a4a80c6952f5c182693a5084d83b1118fafd420c6f1a796003a9223975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 2,518$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 915$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 21c | 687.82$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…9530backed Yes | 32c | 622.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 620.19$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 74c | 557.82$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 19c | 491.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 270$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 80c | 231$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 25c | 219.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…0f22backed Yes | 20c | 213.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 69c | 208.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 76c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 20c | 190.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 381 | 45.7%174 W · 207 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 70c | 183.85$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 76c | 178.19$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740f…a87ebacked Yes | 17c | 166.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 74c | 162.06$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4733…93a2backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…3330backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065d…a672backed Yes | 27c | 148.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ee…d685backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 120$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 384 | 32.8%126 W · 258 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 23c | 108.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 66c | 105.42$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 73c | 76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 75c | 70.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 77c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 77c | 63.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Yes | 33c | 59.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 76c | 55.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 78c | 54.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 73c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd356…963dbacked Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 75c | 43.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed No | 76c | 41.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed No | 76c | 41.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…a8dabacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…cdddbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…574abacked No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39cd…1650backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…0358backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…852abacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf866…00d3backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc833…eec3backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0755…4b83backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 74c | 39.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Yes | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed No | 77c | 29.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…76e9backed No | 68c | 22.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…cd48backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…5ab1backed No | 79c | 13.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?this page
- Will China region win The International 2026?No won
- Will Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.