TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vici Gamingof Yellow Submarine, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba43…c6c0backed Yellow Submarine27c9,398$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.595149%25 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Vici Gaming73c5,007$3,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35236248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Vici Gaming73c3,599$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.671844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yellow Submarine26c3,078$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.269736.1%35 W · 62 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Vici Gaming73c2,421$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.335354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yellow Submarine14c2,247$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.0471143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Yellow Submarine30c1,263$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.2520827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a013backed Vici Gaming75c969.45$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.366342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Yellow Submarine8c896.63$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.29954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yellow Submarine4c766.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2169132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Vici Gaming74c680.27$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8714154.6%77 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Yellow Submarine26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af3…9cb5backed Yellow Submarine27c587.22$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.55825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yellow Submarine5c539.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7889238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x268f…bbd7backed Yellow Submarine26c538.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Yellow Submarine27c533.3$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9962650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Vici Gaming73c525$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7510040%40 W · 60 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Yellow Submarine25c519.21$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.861449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5419…43f9backed Vici Gaming74c513$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yellow Submarine3c506.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5837832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Vici Gaming70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked Yellow Submarine27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Yellow Submarine9c487.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9552046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine20c467.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.062,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yellow Submarine28c409.32$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8610952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8232…d12fbacked Vici Gaming76c408.13$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9128062.9%176 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine13c405.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.741,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Vici Gaming70c382.35$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7150353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Vici Gaming73c350$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.522738.3%87 W · 140 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yellow Submarine25c349.8$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4593546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Vici Gaming73c347.99$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9641050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1f…d6d5backed Yellow Submarine30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Yellow Submarine24c331.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6118437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Yellow Submarine14c308$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.511,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Vici Gaming74c300$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.554659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yellow Submarine27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8133445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Vici Gaming76c293.4$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5213551.9%70 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Vici Gaming73c267.5$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5211847.5%56 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2776…4ecbbacked Vici Gaming74c265.72$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.097262.5%45 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming70c256.05$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.821,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yellow Submarine8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Yellow Submarine25c243.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9417040.6%69 W · 101 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe041…8380backed Yellow Submarine27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vici Gaming72c217.78$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2938142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Yellow Submarine23c172.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7496245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Vici Gaming74c151.35$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.352360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Yellow Submarine12c143.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8121328.2%60 W · 153 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x11f8…e629backed Yellow Submarine26c142.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Yellow Submarine29c139.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Vici Gaming74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1435461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df3…b8bebacked Vici Gaming74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a53…71a3backed Vici Gaming80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2518562.7%116 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Yellow Submarine10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yellow Submarine29c117$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.931844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Vici Gaming74c108$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.088456%47 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c8b…0644backed Vici Gaming77c106.92$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.592965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine12c106$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.271,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Yellow Submarine27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2725047.6%119 W · 131 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Yellow Submarine31c97.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.379440.4%38 W · 56 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yellow Submarine27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252313%3 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-72.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Yellow Submarine25c83.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.767651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Vici Gaming73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1919455.7%108 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2093…b974backed Vici Gaming69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.464250%21 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf75…099fbacked Vici Gaming70c72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3296…c186backed Vici Gaming70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4316552.1%86 W · 79 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yellow Submarine30c71.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4352950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9224…b43bbacked Yellow Submarine26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.216942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75f6…75c7backed Vici Gaming79c61.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.957261.1%44 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac5c…aa54backed Vici Gaming77c52.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.174271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed Yellow Submarine30c46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Vici Gaming72c41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4822562.2%140 W · 85 L-0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5396…6a3bbacked Vici Gaming74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.544057.5%23 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2b2…633abacked Vici Gaming74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.545248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Vici Gaming74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.546056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Vici Gaming73c34.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.18862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…c91dbacked Vici Gaming77c31.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Vici Gaming70c31.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.484755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Vici Gaming74c25.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5871342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe6…13e3backed Vici Gaming73c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.471369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked Vici Gaming74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.271668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Vici Gaming72c17.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f80…14c8backed Vici Gaming73c16.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.331050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.