TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vici Gamingof Yellow Submarine, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,156 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming70c35,294$24,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,716.591,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Yellow Submarine19c19,147$3,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,681.6889341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming70c8,431$5,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.791,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yellow Submarine27c6,259$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.871143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine29c5,279$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.6894442.3%399 W · 545 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked Yellow Submarine29c5,106$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.435750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Yellow Submarine24c4,172$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024154.8%132 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Yellow Submarine30c4,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18069644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked Yellow Submarine9c3,978$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.3522031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked Yellow Submarine24c3,115$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.7528251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Yellow Submarine32c3,037$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.3423561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Yellow Submarine32c2,800$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88772035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Vici Gaming71c2,667$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.0930357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed Vici Gaming68c2,517$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.4912350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Yellow Submarine31c2,300$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.9934442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Yellow Submarine25c2,253$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.1550347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed Yellow Submarine28c2,067$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.9513336.8%49 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yellow Submarine10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e24…7014backed Vici Gaming73c1,646$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.1610453.8%56 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine18c1,635$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.362,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Yellow Submarine6c1,571$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1532549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Yellow Submarine17c1,506$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7350353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Yellow Submarine30c1,500$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45558744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Yellow Submarine30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45060349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked Yellow Submarine11c1,492$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.512252.5%64 W · 58 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+19.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2965…89ebbacked Yellow Submarine5c1,484$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9610251%52 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed Yellow Submarine7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yellow Submarine31c1,359$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.5835637.1%132 W · 224 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Yellow Submarine14c1,300$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6456949%279 W · 290 L+34.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c07dbacked Vici Gaming69c1,217$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.2712263.1%77 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed Yellow Submarine11c1,179$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9929240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine10c1,138$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.541,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vici Gaming71c1,127$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.8161057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine30c1,100$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3251,24744.4%554 W · 693 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63b1…1676backed Yellow Submarine31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31014646.6%68 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9827…e57cbacked Yellow Submarine30c995.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-77.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Yellow Submarine20c964.11$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9747748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed Yellow Submarine28c949.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2662147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da8…28e1backed Yellow Submarine11c911.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-80.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yellow Submarine27c905.27$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.267932.5%221 W · 458 L-27.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f9…0a00backed Vici Gaming70c813.22$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.839158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4d…c1bebacked Yellow Submarine11c684.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.621338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed Yellow Submarine31c645$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9517952.5%94 W · 85 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Yellow Submarine33c636.36$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Yellow Submarine32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Yellow Submarine3c594.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.46132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Vici Gaming68c587.31$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9466648.6%324 W · 342 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81c3…d67dbacked Yellow Submarine10c568$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.167045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Yellow Submarine29c499.98$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14518437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee45…200abacked Yellow Submarine8c493.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018046.1%83 W · 97 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Vici Gaming70c492.65$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3729352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Yellow Submarine23c492.54$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0945352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Yellow Submarine29c488.17$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5713258.3%77 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed Yellow Submarine29c424.14$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1236841.2%28 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked Yellow Submarine31c420.08$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.223946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Yellow Submarine29c354.18$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9722738.3%87 W · 140 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Yellow Submarine30c337.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.253444.4%237 W · 297 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Vici Gaming69c328.56$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.654052.5%21 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked Yellow Submarine33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9916139.8%64 W · 97 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Vici Gaming68c293.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9230854.9%169 W · 139 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Vici Gaming72c285.07$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0722260.4%134 W · 88 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa226…edadbacked Vici Gaming71c275.94$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0211444.7%51 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked Yellow Submarine32c274.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.923345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Yellow Submarine32c248.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5765863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yellow Submarine30c246.68$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9610040%40 W · 60 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc71…7ddfbacked Yellow Submarine6c231.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e88…697dbacked Yellow Submarine8c221.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.69248.9%45 W · 47 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yellow Submarine22c218.08$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4367546.1%311 W · 364 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Vici Gaming69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3912065.8%79 W · 41 L+15.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3e3b…be27backed Vici Gaming62c205$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.921047.6%100 W · 110 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Yellow Submarine15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.896245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed Yellow Submarine19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3821155%116 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab7d…d04bbacked Yellow Submarine26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Yellow Submarine32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410544.8%47 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Yellow Submarine29c193.4$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0943538.6%168 W · 267 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Vici Gaming70c185.63$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.734858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Vici Gaming71c174.7$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9280244.9%360 W · 442 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming74c161.62$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.491,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Yellow Submarine31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd744…16a7backed Yellow Submarine19c159.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe041…8380backed Yellow Submarine32c157.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yellow Submarine15c157.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1987838.3%336 W · 542 L-42.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc13b…701ebacked Vici Gaming68c146.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0111955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Yellow Submarine30c141.21$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4387645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yellow Submarine27c139.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1137146.4%172 W · 199 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Vici Gaming69c129.27$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0758156.6%329 W · 252 L+27.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d4d…2008backed Vici Gaming70c126.53$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.329054.4%49 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yellow Submarine31c125$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.751947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3c…559ebacked Vici Gaming69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9418055.6%100 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b55…cbc6backed Yellow Submarine30c111.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.016238.7%24 W · 38 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb66e…ffc2backed Yellow Submarine29c110.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.444257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b6f…aab3backed Vici Gaming70c109.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.542160.1%253 W · 168 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Yellow Submarine33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yellow Submarine23c105.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1988938%338 W · 551 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Vici Gaming70c104.97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4922462.1%139 W · 85 L-1.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yellow Submarine33c103.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1467555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yellow Submarine31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1152450.8%266 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bed…5cd6backed Yellow Submarine30c89.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.685950.8%30 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c12…3d4cbacked Vici Gaming69c86.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.494761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yellow Submarine30c73.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.935354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.