TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vici Gamingof Yellow Submarine, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming75c11,636$8,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.581,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming73c9,408$6,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,564.011,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Yellow Submarine26c9,385$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.9769644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yellow Submarine18c8,916$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.0171143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked Yellow Submarine25c4,200$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0505750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine27c2,800$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75695342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Yellow Submarine10c2,462$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.489741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Yellow Submarine25c2,009$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine25c1,331$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.751,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Vici Gaming77c1,305$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.2550769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Yellow Submarine6c1,195$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.726147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b1f…d6d5backed Vici Gaming79c1,176$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.527955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Yellow Submarine26c1,137$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.847440.5%30 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Yellow Submarine2c1,100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Yellow Submarine8c990.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.250353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine19c739.3$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.392,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Vici Gaming73c737.55$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1430357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2965…89ebbacked Yellow Submarine5c732.82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6710251%52 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Yellow Submarine27c670$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.956852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Vici Gaming73c670$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.965863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked Yellow Submarine33c534.06$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.93946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Yellow Submarine27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13565441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Yellow Submarine26c444$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.338847.7%42 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Yellow Submarine23c413.46$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.941,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Yellow Submarine9c405.39$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3847748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Yellow Submarine11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4432549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed Yellow Submarine34c316$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.922245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine21c310.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.161,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Vici Gaming76c302.21$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5319856.1%111 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Vici Gaming77c300$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7051364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine25c293.78$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.711,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e0…9970backed Vici Gaming77c291.38$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.021838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Vici Gaming76c276.32$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3217251.2%88 W · 84 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming73c273.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9287645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Yellow Submarine8c269.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5845352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Yellow Submarine25c236$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3c…559ebacked Vici Gaming75c211.73$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7318055.6%100 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee45…200abacked Yellow Submarine30c203.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018046.1%83 W · 97 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc13b…701ebacked Yellow Submarine24c195.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked Yellow Submarine26c193.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.818035%28 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Vici Gaming76c191.72$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0137745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Vici Gaming80c191.51$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.081,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed Vici Gaming75c190$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.53551.4%18 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Yellow Submarine25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037253%197 W · 175 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1720…747fbacked Vici Gaming77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349751.5%50 W · 47 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Vici Gaming76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3637655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Yellow Submarine24c139.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4873743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Vici Gaming76c136.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7793546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Yellow Submarine30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4061449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed Yellow Submarine26c114$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.645839.7%23 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Yellow Submarine26c106.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3281345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed Yellow Submarine10c105.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.589351.6%48 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yellow Submarine28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2869132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c5…5bbabacked Vici Gaming76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2421941.1%90 W · 129 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec9…1873backed Yellow Submarine17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1719839.4%78 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Yellow Submarine32c95.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.592429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Vici Gaming76c92.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2227459.5%163 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Yellow Submarine24c83.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9328650%143 W · 143 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf206…df39backed Vici Gaming73c81.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7616963.3%107 W · 62 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Vici Gaming76c75.42$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.131055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yellow Submarine31c74.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9652950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yellow Submarine31c72.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.66251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Vici Gaming71c71.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6915945.9%73 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da0…a6e2backed Vici Gaming74c65.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Vici Gaming74c61.75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.054858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine25c61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.431,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1912…def8backed Vici Gaming76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.414656.2%82 W · 64 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7c…8b29backed Vici Gaming76c57.37$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0414861.5%91 W · 57 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Vici Gaming75c57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2547358.6%277 W · 196 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yellow Submarine24c56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4438142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e88…697dbacked Vici Gaming76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129248.9%45 W · 47 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84af…3db8backed Yellow Submarine31c46.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Vici Gaming73c45.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.413450%17 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ce…bf7abacked Vici Gaming75c43.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7610766.4%71 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yellow Submarine31c41.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.795354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4d…2008backed Vici Gaming72c30.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.469054.4%49 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Vici Gaming77c28.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6658356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8efb…c0e6backed Vici Gaming77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9722259%131 W · 91 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Vici Gaming64c20.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3822738.3%87 W · 140 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c47…47f5backed Vici Gaming71c19.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.544663%29 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87f…864dbacked Vici Gaming77c14.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.