Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open (Doubles): Krawietz/Puetz vs Doumbia/Reboul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa18f49153d3a575e3f44b9b138d8cd84706499edc00cdff1725102fb9ccca4e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krawietz/Puetzof Krawietz/Puetz, Doumbia/Reboul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 60c | 711.19$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.36 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Doumbia/Reboul | 39c | 638.15$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.88 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Doumbia/Reboul | 33c | 607.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Doumbia/Reboul | 41c | 497$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doumbia/Reboul | 37c | 372.3$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…f951backed Krawietz/Puetz | 61c | 321.43$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…7763backed Krawietz/Puetz | 60c | 317.49$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Doumbia/Reboul | 40c | 294.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 60c | 242.83$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Krawietz/Puetz | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Doumbia/Reboul | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Doumbia/Reboul | 16c | 124.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Krawietz/Puetz | 61c | 123.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Doumbia/Reboul | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Krawietz/Puetz | 48c | 89.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Krawietz/Puetz | 66c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Krawietz/Puetz | 66c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doumbia/Reboul | 38c | 72.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Krawietz/Puetz | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Krawietz/Puetz | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doumbia/Reboul | 41c | 42.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfd…292ebacked Krawietz/Puetz | 65c | 38.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Doumbia/Reboul | 43c | 30.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2b…b715backed Krawietz/Puetz | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Krawietz/Puetz | 67c | 17.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.