Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x227d070e8847a3f07a5cb69295ce36afded9d579197f840e19033ed31acd39b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Costa Ricaof Colombia, Costa Rica
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Costa Rica | 54c | 10,057$5,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,644.84 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Colombia | 47c | 8,496$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.77 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Colombia | 46c | 2,746$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.34 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Costa Rica | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.94 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Costa Rica | 51c | 1,044$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.59 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Costa Rica | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…c19dbacked Colombia | 40c | 773.59$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Colombia | 46c | 720.18$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.38 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…da7bbacked Colombia | 46c | 709.96$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colombia | 23c | 663.95$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Costa Rica | 54c | 624$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.53 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Colombia | 48c | 612$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.99 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Colombia | 36c | 563.15$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.53 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Colombia | 47c | 534.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Costa Rica | 51c | 493.78$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.95 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Costa Rica | 55c | 443.88$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.58 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Costa Rica | 63c | 348.83$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Costa Rica | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Costa Rica | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Costa Rica | 53c | 316.85$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.92 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Costa Rica | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3662…0e48backed Colombia | 44c | 248.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Costa Rica | 51c | 245$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…f5ecbacked Colombia | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Costa Rica | 54c | 243.87$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Costa Rica | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Colombia | 51c | 222.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Colombia | 41c | 186.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Colombia | 23c | 185.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Costa Rica | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Costa Rica | 53c | 160.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Costa Rica | 57c | 159.54$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Costa Rica | 53c | 149.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Costa Rica | 65c | 139.79$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Colombia | 36c | 123.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Colombia | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Costa Rica | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Colombia | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Colombia | 46c | 110.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Costa Rica | 53c | 110.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Colombia | 23c | 108.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Colombia | 46c | 108.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Colombia | 50c | 108.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Colombia | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Colombia | 45c | 99.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Costa Rica | 53c | 70.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Colombia | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Colombia | 74c | 67.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Costa Rica | 54c | 64.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…ee7ebacked Colombia | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Colombia | 46c | 58.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Colombia | 47c | 46.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…1ff8backed Costa Rica | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Costa Rica | 54c | 45.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…ae63backed Costa Rica | 27c | 43.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Colombia | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fc…617abacked Colombia | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Costa Rica | 58c | 39.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Costa Rica | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Colombia | 47c | 34.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd012…4606backed Colombia | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Colombia | 37c | 30.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Colombia | 50c | 30.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 268 | 35.4%95 W · 173 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd193…78acbacked Costa Rica | 35c | 28.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Costa Rica | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Costa Rica | 56c | 26.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Costa Rica | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Costa Rica | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Costa Rica | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Colombia | 49c | 22.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)this page
- Colombia vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.