TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,057 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c19,992$9,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,029.284,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over46c16,704$7,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,092.931545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over63c11,193$7,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,176.652,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over48c5,133$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.5512146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c4,607$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.843,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under55c4,298$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over49c4,083$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.7313544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under21c2,895$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.5643737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c2,499$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.921,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Over67c2,221$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.842050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under55c2,205$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.8419850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over45c1,793$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under16c1,500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2357828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over45c1,100$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.4345428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under35c1,050$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.431,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over46c824.97$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4859230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over70c783.36$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6822731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over70c713.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.975062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over46c689.34$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.4514342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over49c662.4$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.1128964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Under46c654.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Under9c621.77$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.96137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b6…41b4backed Over65c566.15$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.152166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under30c533.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16021143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under58c528.53$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.3741451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under58c499.09$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4735549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over50c478.06$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.9735658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked Over44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5511544.3%51 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Over44c442.54$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.823125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7855153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over52c369.43$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4523940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under55c357.32$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.38643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over57c333.01$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9723345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under67c329.42$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Over79c312.66$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.668158%47 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under54c308.26$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3984844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over32c301.75$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.192839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under55c300.82$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4641857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over48c288$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.768646.5%40 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e2…ffd9backed Over45c255.56$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.561631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under14c250.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1319946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over48c246.46$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.468955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbff…d177backed Over43c240$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.82433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3915949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4254…1d02backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6422639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under30c197.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.872,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over55c174.81$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6446939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c173.25$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.041,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over65c173.23$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.635332.1%17 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over46c159.56$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.573,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3922…0670backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2510350.5%52 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Under47c146.8$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7624849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under57c131$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.233,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa350…a39cbacked Under56c125.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-77.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcdf…8116backed Over80c124.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.815042%21 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaaa9…513ebacked Over44c122.38$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05bc…f3ebbacked Over46c116.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.598734.5%30 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under52c113.62$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0813351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52aa…e5dabacked Over50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under39c107.21$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8142952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over61c107.21$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8123857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under13c101.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.168817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under16c100.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2969744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f8e…5ad4backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528736.8%32 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under56c99.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.612,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under50c99.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9925942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over64c94.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.864,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9379…f116backed Under54c90.63$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.94837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under22c86.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7214647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under46c86.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9786455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over48c81.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2516544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb549…ae63backed Under22c76.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.151758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Under53c73.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under56c69.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.761,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over67c68.2$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5125865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c65.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.33,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over43c64.48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.751,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.58644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e0…88a5backed Over70c60.66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.053246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8512252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5216040.6%65 W · 95 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93aa…5270backed Under37c58.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over42c58.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6943826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4089…91a9backed Over48c57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under57c56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.922,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Over71c54.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8616153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Over77c54.01$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4813268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Under56c53.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2312750.4%64 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.56235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6583…a593backed Under53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Over53c46.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.84847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Over60c46.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6712437.1%46 W · 78 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.