Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80e1aff5ab0bda13ddf5ff28fa9a528a2f6c76c7a87edd0750f03eb948e1fcfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Under | 73c | 3,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.95 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 2,859$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.69 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Under | 70c | 2,514$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 36c | 2,351$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.58 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 2,187$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…45cebacked Over | 23c | 1,923$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.68 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 20c | 1,521$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.38 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 76c | 1,404$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.02 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Under | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 63c | 945.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.23 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 12c | 927.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 28c | 910.93$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.06 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 25c | 779.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 39c | 463.16$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.49 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Over | 12c | 279.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 13c | 278.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Over | 10c | 210.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Over | 35c | 199.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 9c | 199.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 14c | 184.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 28c | 171.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 9c | 159.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Over | 12c | 159$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…7513backed Over | 14c | 135.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 12c | 105.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 12c | 93.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 77c | 83.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Over | 15c | 68.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 23c | 63.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…4c57backed Over | 45c | 44.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…36f9backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 65c | 21.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…760ebacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 80c | 13.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5this page
- Colombia vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5Over won
- Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Costa Rica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.